Likelihood Of Event

Words: 688
Pages: 3
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James Hoffman
ECON-1200-01
Feb-8-2017
1. Terrorist attack
Likelihood of event: %80
In the article “How likely are foreign terrorists to kill Americans? The odds may surprise you” Dave Mosher and Skye Gould discuss how likely some events are to kill an individual over their life span. Terrorism of all forms comes thirty-third on the list being less likely than getting killed by bicycling (2017). In Singmans article “2017 terror forecast for US, Europe ‘alarming,’ says House report” covers the reasons that I believe a terror attack is coming. I think the chances of getting attacked are increased now that the trump administration is putting more pressure on radicals. I also believe that we will see an increase of radicals due to Muslims being …show more content…
Hottest month
Likelihood of event: %0 The average temperature for the next few months seem like they will be a little above average in the south but cold/wet in the north and east, and nothing that will make records.
In both articles, there is an agreeance that temperatures in the south will be above average but in the north the temperatures will remain below average for an extended period (Lam, 2017), (MacMath, 2017). This is enough to have me convinced that temperatures will not exceed to record breaking numbers.

3. The most recent BLS projection of manufacturing employment will be up from its projected December 2016 value of 12.275 million
Likelihood of event: 75%
I don’t know.
4. Supreme Court justice
Likelihood of event: %75
This event would be definite but I believe this is less likely to happen just because of the amount of time it has recently took to confirm a Supreme Court justice. There are 81 days in the period we are talking about, but during Obamas presidency it an average of 77 days to confirm a Supreme court nominee (Nytimes.com, 2017). I believe this process will take longer than average because Democrats are planning to make this nomination process as difficult as they can (Biskupic, …show more content…
and Downie, J. (2017). Opinion | Is President Trump’s executive order constitutional?. [online] Washington Post. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/is-president-trumps-executive-order-constitutional/2017/02/06/26ee9762-ecc1-11e6-9973-c5efb7ccfb0d_story.html?utm_term=.2dac4dcfe722 [Accessed 9 Feb. 2017].
Lam, L. (2017). Spring 2017 Temperature Outlook: Warmth to Persist in the South. [online] The Weather Channel. Available at: https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/spring-temperature-forecast-march-april-may-2017 [Accessed 9 Feb. 2017].
MacMath, J. (2017). 2017 US spring forecast: Winter won't quit in Northeast; Severe weather to explode across Plains. [online] Accuweather.com. Available at: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2017-us-spring-forecast-winter-wont-quit-in-northeast-severe-weather-to-explode-across-plains/70000757 [Accessed 9 Feb. 2017].
Mosher, D. and Gould, S. (2017). How likely are foreign terrorists to kill Americans? The odds may surprise you. [online] Business Insider. Available at: http://www.businessinsider.com/death-risk-statistics-terrorism-disease-accidents-2017-1 [Accessed 9 Feb.
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